Ngā Pūrongo o te 1 o Paenga-whāwhā: I kī tata nei ngā tohunga mākete kei te tīmata te pikinga o ngā utu o ngā maniua me ngā wahie ki te awe i ngā whakataunga ahuwhenua a ngā whenua kaweake nui. I tohu ngā tohunga mākete i Thailand me te Hononga o Amerika tera pea ka whakaitihia e ngā kaimahi raihi ā rātou taputapu whakaputa, ka arahi pea tēnei ki te whakahekenga o te whakaputa raihi, ā, ka kino ake pea te korenga o ngā taonga o te ao i te tau e whai ake nei.Heoi, he nui ngā taonga tongi a Īnia, ā, he nui hoki te tautoko a te kāwanatanga, e āwhina ana ki te tiaki i tana mākete ā-rohe mai i te pānga tika.
E matapaetia ana ka whānui ake ngā rerekētanga o te tuku raihi ā-rohe nā tēnei rerekētanga i waenga i te pēhanga utu me te tautoko kaupapa here, ā, ka tautoko pea i ngā utu raihi o te ao, ka whakapiki ake hoki i te whakawhirinaki o ngā kawemai o te ao ki te tuku raihi mai i Īnia.
Tairānia:
Ka pāngia ngā whakataunga ahuwhenua e ngā pēhanga utu
I te pikinga tere o ngā utu o ngā maniua me ngā wahie, kua kite ngā kaitākaro mākete i Thailand i ngā tohu tōmua o te panonitanga o ngā whanonga a ngā kaimahi pāmu. I kī tētahi kaihoko i Bangkok, i runga i te iti o ngā utu raihi o nāianei, e whakapono ana ia he nui ake te tūponotanga ka whakaitihia e ngā kaimahi pāmu te nui o te maniua e whakamahia ana, ka whakaitihia rānei te whānuitanga o te whenua e mārahia ana.
I kī tētahi atu kaihoko i Bangkok he tino uaua te whakato hua o tēnei wā, ehara i te mea nā te pikinga o ngā utu o ngā maniua anake engari nā te pikinga nui o ngā utu wahie. Kua piki ake ngā utu penehīni mā te 30% pea, ā, kei te whakararuraru te korenga o ngā taonga i ngā mahi hauhake, ka kino ai ngā hua i ngā rohe maha.
E ai ki te pūrongo hou mai i te Tari Ahuwhenua o Amerika (FAS), e matapaetia ana ka heke te whakaputanga raihi a Thailand mō te tau pūtea 2025/26 (Hanuere ki Tīhema) ki te 20.4 miriona tana, he iti iho i te 20.8 miriona tana o te tau i mua. Ko te take nui o tēnei ko te hekenga o te rohe whakato mai i te 11.08 miriona heketea i te tau i mua ki te 10.80 miriona heketea.
Te Hononga o Amerika:
Ka raru ngā wāhi whakato i te pikinga o ngā utu tongi
I te Hononga o Amerika, e matapaetia ana ka nui ake te pānga o te pikinga o ngā utu tongi ki ngā whakataunga whakato, inā koa kua iti kē ngā hua.
I kī tētahi o roto i te umanga kai, ko te pikinga o ngā utu tongi i ngā rā tata nei ka pā nui ki te mākete raihi o Amerika. I kī ngā tohunga umanga kei te tata tonu ki te 30% te korenga o te tongi e hiahiatia ana mō te hua raihi 2026/27. Ko te nuinga o te tongi i hokona e ngā kaimahi pāmu i mua i te pikinga ake o te pakanga i te Middle East. I mua i te pakanga o te Middle East, i rerekē te utu o te tongi phosphate i waenga i te $475 me te $500 ia tana, engari kua piki ake inaianei ki te $800 ia tana, neke atu rānei.
I kī tetahi kaitātari mākete raihi o Amerika, mai i te tīmatanga o te pakanga i te Middle East, kua piki ake ngā utu tongi mā te 70%-75%, ā, ka ara ake ngā āwangawanga mō te whakaiti i ngā wāhi whakato, ahakoa kāore anō kia mārama te pānga.
Heoi, he rerekē te āhua o te whenua i ia wāhi, i ia wāhi. I California, e matapaetia ana ka noho pumau tonu te hua o te raihi waenga-kākano. I kī tētahi kaiwhakatipu, nā te kore o ngā hua rerekē e whai hua ana, kāore pea e heke te whānuitanga o te raihi e whakatipuria ana i California.
Haunga te utu o ngā maniua, kei te pāngia hoki ngā kaihanga e te pikinga o ngā pēhanga utu, tae atu ki te kawe waka, ngā matū me te takai, e pēhi ana i te tawhē hua.
I whakaū te pūrongo mō te whakato raihi i tukuna e te Tari Ahuwhenua o Amerika i te 31 o Poutū-te-rangi i ngā tumanakohanga a te mākete. E whakaatu ana te pūrongo ko te rohe whakato raihi roa i tēnei tau he 1.648 miriona eka, he hekenga nui o te 24% ki te tau o mua, ā, koinei hoki te taumata iti rawa mai i te tau 1983, e tohu ana i te whakahekenga hanganga nui o te kaha whakaputa.
Īnia:
Ngā mahi a te kāwanatanga hei whakaiti i te pānga o te tongi
He rerekē, ko Īnia te āhua nei kāore e pāngia e ngā piki me ngā heke o te utu tongi o te ao, nā te nui o āna rawa me ngā mahi matatau a te kāwanatanga i mua i te wā rui i te ngahuru.
I te 10 o Poutū-te-rangi, i tukuna e te Manatū Matū me ngā Tongi o Īnia tētahi pūrongo e kī ana i te wā o te wā rui o te kōanga (mai i te 1 o Oketopa, 2025 ki te 5 o Poutū-te-rangi, 2026), i tino rawaka te tuku o te urea, te diammonium phosphate (DAP), te potassium chloride (MOP), me te tongi matū hauota-phosphorus-oil (NPKS), ā, i taea te whakatutuki i ngā hiahia ahuwhenua, ā, i pai te āhua o ngā taonga o te motu.
E kī ana anō te tuhinga, hei whakaiti i ngā mōrearea o te tuku me te whakarite kia kore e mutu te tuku, i kaha te mahi tahi a te kāwanatanga me ngā whenua whai rawa rauemi hei whakahaere i te hainatanga o ngā whakaaetanga roa me ngā tuhinga māramatanga i waenga i ngā umanga tongi Inia me ngā kaiwhakarato o te ao. Kei roto i ēnei whakaritenga ko te kawemai i te 3.1 miriona tana tongi ia tau mai i Saudi Arabia, 3.01 miriona tana mai i Rūhia, me te 2.5 miriona tana mai i Morocco.
I kī te Manatū Ahuwhenua o Īnia kei te whakapiki ake a Īnia i ngā kawemai mā roto i ngā tono tuku. I te 10 o Poutū-te-rangi, kua piki ake te nui o ngā kawemai mā te 36.6% i ia tau. I kī tētahi kaihoko raihi i Delhi, e ai ki tāna mōhio, kāore anō kia raru ngā maniua nā te mea he kanorau ngā hua o Īnia.
I te huihuinga pāpāho a ngā minita i te 19 o Poutū-te-rangi, i kī te Kaikōrero mō te Manatū Take Ke, a Randhir Jaswal, e pā ana ki te āhua o te tuku tongi i tēnei wā, inā koa mō ngā hua o te wā rui o te ngahuru i te tau 2026, he rawaka ngā taonga tongi. I tukuna anō hoki e te Manatū Tongi he tono ā-ao i mua hei whakatau i te āhua o nāianei, ā, i tino pai te urupare i riro mai. E matapaetia ana ka tae mai te nuinga o ngā tongi i tonoa mai i ngā momo hongere i te mutunga o Poutū-te-rangi.
I tāpiri atu ngā tohunga mākete ahakoa kua piki ake ngā utu tongi, kāore pea a Īnia e pāngia nā te mea ko te kāwanatanga te kawenga mō te pānga o te pikinga utu. He rite tonu tēnei ki te āhuatanga o te mākete hinu, kua piki ake ngā utu hinu o te ao engari kāore ngā utu penehīni ā-rohe o Īnia.
Wā tuku: 21 Paenga-whāwhā 2026
